The Pollster.com average of independent polling in Kentucky’s U.S. Senate race shows Republican Rand Paul leading Democrat Jack Conway by 6.1 percentage points.
Paul’s margin over Conway has narrowed by 3 points since August 2. Paul’s average has dropped from 49.4 percent to 47.1 percent while Conway’s average has increased from 40.3 percent to 41 percent.
We excluded from the average a June poll conducted on behalf of the Conway campaign that showed him leading Paul by 2 percentage points. When that internal poll is included in the average, the gap between Paul and Conway dips to 3.4 percentage points.