SurveyUSA: Mongiardo and Paul hold big leads in U.S. Senate race

March 08, 2010 | | Comments 14

A new SurveyUSA poll conducted for The Courier-Journal and WHAS-TV in Louisville shows Lt. Gov. Daniel Mongiardo with an 18 point lead over Attorney General Jack Conway in Kentucky’s Democratic primary for U.S. Senate.

On the Republican side, Bowling Green eye surgeon Rand Paul holds a 15 point lead over Secretary of State Trey Grayson. Nineteen percent of the likely voters surveyed were undecided in both polls.

If the General Election were held today, the poll suggests the race would be tight: 43 percent said they’d vote for a Republican candidate while 42 percent said they’d choose a Democrat.

The automated phone surveys were conducted March 1-3. The Democratic primary poll has a margin of error of 4.1 percentage points. The Republican primary poll has a margin of error of 4.7 percentage points. The general election poll has a margin of error of 2.4 percentage points.

Here are the breakdowns:


Mongiardo – 45
Conway – 27
Undecided – 19
Price – 4
Buckmaster – 3
Sweeney – 2


Paul – 42
Grayson – 27
Undecided – 19
Johnson – 5
Martin – 3
Stephenson – 2
Scribner – 1

Filed Under: Daniel MongiardoElectionsJack ConwayPollingRand PaulUS Senate Race

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  1. Unless Trey Grayson Can Coral Undecideds Against Rand Paul (Possible) And Jack Conway Can Do The Same Against Dan Mongiardo (UNLIKELY), Race Is Over.

    But then again, one of the leading candidates could do something BUFFOONERY, to snatch defeat from the joys of victory.


  3. jacob freeman says:

    And the Tea Party movement continues to gain momentum. Can you hear us now?

  4. Goob says:

    Will anyone be surprised if Trey Grayson starts up the attack ads again soon? I always thought he would be a better governor but not such a good legislator. Too much of a politician and not a statesman like we need.

    Rand Paul fits Kentucky better. And I think saying he will be independent like Bunning is a great compliment.

  5. daniel says:

    WOW – this is a suprise in the GOP..

  6. KY1911 says:

    I keep trying to tell Grayson’s people…the world is in a new place and citizens are truly fed-up (much more than before) and that Kentucky could very well be the first bastion of traditional GOP-ism to be replaced by the new wave of isolationist evangelical ideologues that seem to be gaining so much traction among the center-rights. Maybe, rather than the Dems, the GOP will eat its young this time around…either way, its going to be fun to watch!!!

  7. George C Looney says:

    Grayson’s tv commercial sounds like a foney baloney (intentional misspelling) politician’s ad. “We cut spending by 15%” means nothing, especially with our state int he situation it faces. We don’t need more pandering.

  8. jon says:

    Mongiardo would be a total disaster.

  9. ken says:

    Ditto: Mongiardo would be a total disaster.

  10. Anonymous says:

    If you think Jim Bunning is a Kook, he has nothing on Rand Paul. Rand Paul is off his rocker.

  11. Jack McCock says:

    If Trey Grayson goes all negative with his ads, it probably won’t work out for him. It didn’t work for Creigh Deeds in Virgina last year, as his campaign was probably 75% negative. He lost by double digits. While Virginia is not Kentucky, this should show some evidence that somebody who runs a majority negative campaign lacks substance. How can you convince anybody how good you are if you are constantly talking about how bad your opponent is? Rand Paul has been running the smarter campaign here.

  12. Tcafs says:

    Only thing better than Paul taking this seat would be evicting Mitch from his. Not better, but still..

  13. Big Jim says:

    All we need is Mongiardo to get elected so that we have one more congressional dumba** running up the national debt.

  14. Buck Feshear says:

    So where does Paul stand today on closing Gitmo? On killing the snakes before they bite us? On abortion? On gay marriage?